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Red294
3711164.5
3495143.7
3397169.1
Blue452
6014126.9
254255.2
58592.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328388100200500600700294452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#33
169.10.7
166.3167.1
Auto18.8
Teleop124.6
End24.2
blue by 86.1
254
#1
255.21.6
248.6250.2
Auto28.7
Teleop175.7
End48.1
Second
3711
#22
164.51.3
171.2170.0
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End25.3
red by 37.6
6014
#62
126.90.2
130.1130.3
Auto17.1
Teleop96.7
End8.4
Third
3495
#26
143.70.1
141.3141.4
Auto17.9
Teleop105.4
End23.0
red by 51.0
585
#42
92.80.9
95.694.8
Auto17.7
Teleop69.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed58%Face the Boss oddsEarned