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Red316
6885119.6
7140151.1
359206.0
Blue366
5414149.9
7173119.2
2992177.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325332200250300350400450316366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
206.00.6
202.7202.1
Auto23.3
Teleop144.6
End34.8
red by 28.3
177.71.5
168.1169.7
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
Second
7140
#63
151.10.9
151.8150.9
Auto15.9
Teleop107.9
End27.0
red by 1.3
5414
#41
149.90.8
146.8147.6
Auto22.1
Teleop118.4
End7.0
Third
6885
#25
119.61.1
107.0108.1
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End19.1
red by 0.5
7173
#43
119.21.6
109.4111.0
Auto16.9
Teleop85.1
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsEarned