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Red275
2974175.9
6060120.2
5839140.5
Blue492
5291167.1
1156171.2
399203.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2584330100200300500600700275492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#48
175.90.7
171.1171.7
Auto25.8
Teleop133.2
End16.9
blue by 27.1
399
#2
203.00.8
190.9191.8
Auto22.3
Teleop148.6
End29.3
Second
5839
#56
140.50.5
138.7139.2
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
blue by 30.7
1156
#12
171.20.7
163.3164.0
Auto21.2
Teleop131.9
End15.2
Third
6060
#57
120.20.3
116.4116.1
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
blue by 46.9
5291
#44
167.10.2
168.8168.6
Auto20.5
Teleop126.8
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned