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Qual 312018 Hopper Division
Red278
6702132.2
7034143.9
1902165.0
Blue400
3019128.6
973192.7
3506140.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29535205001,0001,5002,000278400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#40
165.00.2
159.5→159.3
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
blue by 27.7
973
#9
192.70.4
187.0→186.6
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End32.3
Second
7034
#38
143.91.7
145.2→143.5
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End19.0
red by 3.8
3506
#45
140.11.4
139.2→137.8
Auto16.2
Teleop109.8
End12.7
Third
6702
#28
132.21.8
121.8→123.6
Auto17.0
Teleop98.3
End15.5
red by 3.5
3019
#60
128.60.3
126.8→127.1
Auto16.1
Teleop98.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned