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Red307
3223155.3
7140151.1
5854117.2
Blue336
1156171.2
4733103.5
2283147.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315319250300350400450307336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#39
155.31.4
148.7150.1
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End16.7
blue by 16.0
1156
#12
171.21.2
164.0165.2
Auto21.2
Teleop131.9
End15.2
Second
7140
#63
151.10.6
150.9150.3
Auto15.9
Teleop107.9
End27.0
red by 3.9
2283
#47
147.32.4
137.0139.4
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End12.4
Third
5854
#61
117.20.6
118.9119.5
Auto15.1
Teleop89.7
End12.0
red by 13.7
4733
#64
103.50.1
103.8103.6
Auto15.5
Teleop76.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed