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Red214
5414149.9
6705187.1
5809126.4
Blue409
5572196.1
1902165.0
59172.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304382100200500600700214409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#34
187.10.2
190.8191.0
Auto17.0
Teleop152.5
End19.0
blue by 9.0
196.10.7
194.6193.8
Auto23.2
Teleop144.1
End29.5
Second
5414
#41
149.91.4
147.6149.0
Auto22.1
Teleop118.4
End7.0
blue by 22.5
59
#37
172.40.1
173.6173.7
Auto20.5
Teleop133.2
End18.2
Third
5809
#54
126.40.2
122.6122.8
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End16.1
blue by 38.7
1902
#40
165.00.1
159.3159.4
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed