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Red250
3397169.1
6025163.4
4775154.6
Blue385
2976167.7
6060120.2
294186.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350349260280300320340360380250385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#33
169.10.4
167.1167.5
Auto18.8
Teleop124.6
End24.2
blue by 17.3
294
#15
186.31.0
189.3188.3
Auto25.8
Teleop134.4
End26.8
Second
6025
#30
163.42.0
147.6149.6
Auto14.4
Teleop125.8
End25.8
blue by 4.3
2976
#18
167.71.6
158.3159.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
Third
4775
#68
154.60.0
157.2157.2
Auto17.3
Teleop117.8
End18.1
red by 34.4
6060
#57
120.20.1
116.1115.9
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed