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Red218
6803168.0
7173119.2
2854120.1
Blue410
3339196.5
2974175.9
6702132.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271382100200500600700218410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#55
168.00.2
172.9173.1
Auto19.6
Teleop130.5
End13.2
blue by 28.6
196.51.2
182.4183.7
Auto25.0
Teleop142.1
End29.9
Second
2854
#67
120.11.6
125.7124.1
Auto16.6
Teleop96.8
End6.1
blue by 55.8
2974
#48
175.90.7
171.7172.4
Auto25.8
Teleop133.2
End16.9
Third
7173
#43
119.21.9
111.0112.9
Auto16.9
Teleop85.1
End17.7
blue by 13.0
6702
#28
132.21.7
123.6125.4
Auto17.0
Teleop98.3
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned