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Red323
3495143.7
1706192.7
3489153.4
Blue337
5291167.1
6885119.6
973192.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3623180100200500600700800323337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.71.4
178.1179.5
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
Level
973
#9
192.70.5
186.6187.1
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End32.3
Second
3489
#31
153.41.8
151.9150.1
Auto18.5
Teleop112.2
End21.9
blue by 13.7
5291
#44
167.10.5
168.6169.1
Auto20.5
Teleop126.8
End19.8
Third
3495
#26
143.70.1
141.4141.3
Auto17.9
Teleop105.4
End23.0
red by 24.1
6885
#25
119.60.9
108.1109.0
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned