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Red474
399203.0
2583119.2
180185.3
Blue151
3711164.5
6907165.1
6050113.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952800100200500600700474151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#2
203.01.3
191.8193.1
Auto22.3
Teleop148.6
End29.3
red by 37.9
6907
#20
165.12.7
160.3163.0
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
Second
180
#7
185.31.6
171.5173.1
Auto21.7
Teleop145.7
End17.7
red by 20.7
3711
#22
164.51.2
170.0168.8
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End25.3
Third
2583
#24
119.20.9
112.8113.7
Auto16.6
Teleop89.7
End13.2
red by 6.0
6050
#23
113.20.5
114.6114.0
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed