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Red152
58592.8
5854117.2
2583119.2
Blue437
2974175.9
1261136.5
7293123.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143700100300400500600152437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#24
119.21.4
116.4117.9
Auto16.6
Teleop89.7
End13.2
blue by 56.7
2974
#48
175.90.4
174.4174.8
Auto25.8
Teleop133.2
End16.9
Second
5854
#61
117.21.0
121.0119.9
Auto15.1
Teleop89.7
End12.0
blue by 19.4
1261
#21
136.50.4
135.2134.8
Auto18.2
Teleop102.2
End18.8
Third
585
#42
92.80.3
95.294.9
Auto17.7
Teleop69.0
End4.9
blue by 30.2
7293
#58
123.00.9
122.7121.8
Auto16.6
Teleop89.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed