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Red370
294186.3
6702132.2
6050113.2
Blue257
6353127.2
7034143.9
6060120.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311313200250350400450370257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#15
186.31.0
187.0186.0
Auto25.8
Teleop134.4
End26.8
red by 42.4
7034
#38
143.90.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End19.0
Second
6702
#28
132.20.7
129.6130.2
Auto17.0
Teleop98.3
End15.5
red by 4.9
6353
#29
127.20.8
128.6127.8
Auto20.5
Teleop97.8
End7.8
Third
6050
#23
113.20.8
112.2111.4
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7
blue by 7.0
6060
#57
120.20.9
117.6118.5
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed