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Red487
2976167.7
5242148.0
254255.2
Blue287
1902165.0
1810136.1
7173119.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4872180100300400600700800487287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
255.20.7
255.0255.8
Auto28.7
Teleop175.7
End48.1
red by 90.1
1902
#40
165.00.3
161.9162.3
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Second
2976
#18
167.71.0
163.6164.6
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
red by 31.5
1810
#53
136.10.0
134.7134.8
Auto17.6
Teleop97.2
End23.2
Third
5242
#52
148.01.9
154.1152.2
Auto20.5
Teleop108.0
End14.1
red by 28.8
7173
#43
119.21.3
115.6116.9
Auto16.9
Teleop85.1
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
76%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed