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Red333
2096137.6
6050113.2
957173.1
Blue319
4775154.6
3075168.2
456177.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273408100200500600700333319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#17
173.10.6
170.9171.4
Auto20.2
Teleop133.4
End23.1
blue by 4.4
456
#16
177.50.3
178.3178.6
Auto20.0
Teleop132.7
End23.2
Second
2096
#59
137.60.6
134.9135.6
Auto19.3
Teleop102.9
End17.8
blue by 30.6
3075
#65
168.20.0
169.6169.6
Auto20.6
Teleop123.4
End21.3
Third
6050
#23
113.20.0
111.4111.4
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7
blue by 41.4
4775
#68
154.60.2
155.4155.6
Auto17.3
Teleop117.8
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed