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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Iowa Regional
Red302
525188.4
3928162.4
5914118.5
Blue280
4959156.4
1982142.3
2987162.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763320100200500600700800302280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.3
187.5→187.7
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 26.1
2987
#18
162.30.4
161.9→162.3
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
Second
3928
#2
162.40.8
159.4→160.2
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 6.0
4959
#25
156.40.4
156.0→156.4
Auto23.4
Teleop119.2
End13.1
Third
5914
#46
118.50.7
115.7→116.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
blue by 23.8
1982
#8
142.30.3
142.0→142.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2