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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Iowa Regional
Red458
2526154.3
4818149.4
5690155.1
Blue296
5006154.1
6317136.6
6359149.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376317100200500600700458296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
155.10.4
153.4→153.7
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
red by 1.0
5006
#31
154.10.1
153.9→154.0
Auto19.1
Teleop109.1
End25.7
Second
2526
#16
154.30.6
152.0→152.6
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
red by 5.1
6359
#20
149.20.5
148.3→148.7
Auto17.0
Teleop113.2
End19.7
Third
4818
#3
149.41.1
144.5→145.6
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7
red by 12.8
6317
#7
136.60.4
135.9→136.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.5
End11.5