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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Iowa Regional
Red338
2526154.3
4818149.4
5690155.1
Blue278
5006154.1
6317136.6
6359149.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384314100200500600700338278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
155.10.4
153.7154.2
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
red by 1.0
5006
#31
154.10.1
154.0154.1
Auto19.1
Teleop109.1
End25.7
Second
2526
#16
154.30.6
152.6153.3
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
red by 5.1
6359
#20
149.20.4
148.7149.2
Auto17.0
Teleop113.2
End19.7
Third
149.41.1
145.6146.7
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7
red by 12.8
136.60.3
136.3136.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.5
End11.5