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Qual 112018 Iowa Regional
Red159
5576157.5
3026108.5
287486.9
Blue405
2526154.3
4260116.7
1710159.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234372100200300400500600159405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
157.51.4
153.5→155.0
Auto21.3
Teleop105.7
End29.9
blue by 2.4
1710
#24
159.92.0
158.0→160.0
Auto20.9
Teleop124.8
End13.3
Second
3026
#41
108.510.9
89.9→100.8
Auto17.1
Teleop85.8
End4.8
blue by 45.8
2526
#16
154.32.2
133.9→136.1
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
Third
2874
#15
86.90.9
89.1→88.1
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
blue by 29.8
4260
#45
116.717.7
59.4→77.1
Auto14.2
Teleop87.0
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed