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Qual 122018 Iowa Regional
Red383
6424160.4
6025143.8
5837126.7
Blue275
5006154.1
5906113.9
2530104.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843040100200400500600700383275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#4
160.40.8
137.7→138.5
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
red by 6.3
5006
#31
154.12.2
143.0→145.2
Auto19.1
Teleop109.1
End25.7
Second
6025
#17
143.810.9
96.7→107.5
Auto15.3
Teleop108.5
End21.3
red by 29.9
5906
#58
113.912.2
76.1→88.4
Auto14.0
Teleop89.7
End8.5
Third
5837
#56
126.712.2
81.8→94.1
Auto13.8
Teleop95.3
End17.6
red by 22.0
2530
#47
104.68.5
100.7→109.2
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed