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Qual 162018 Iowa Regional
Red362
6391138.7
5690155.1
3928162.4
Blue203
6412124.8
6999101.2
5935121.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762310100200300500362203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#2
162.411.2
112.9→124.1
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 37.5
6412
#57
124.811.4
80.7→92.0
Auto16.4
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Second
5690
#22
155.10.4
148.6→149.1
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
red by 33.3
5935
#30
121.814.6
72.5→87.1
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End8.7
Third
6391
#27
138.72.0
130.2→132.2
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
red by 37.5
6999
#49
101.213.6
77.7→91.4
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed