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Qual 172018 Iowa Regional
Red321
6536112.9
3633140.4
931137.3
Blue238
7141102.6
2987162.3
6455108.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843120100200400500600700800321238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#23
140.411.5
91.6→103.2
Auto15.3
Teleop110.5
End17.5
blue by 21.9
2987
#18
162.31.1
163.1→164.2
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
Second
931
#9
137.31.9
125.6→127.5
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
red by 28.7
6455
#59
108.59.3
87.9→97.3
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
Third
6536
#60
112.910.1
96.1→106.2
Auto15.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
red by 10.3
7141
#61
102.613.0
77.7→90.7
Auto13.5
Teleop79.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed