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Qual 182018 Iowa Regional
Red116
6950111.0
599195.4
4500116.8
Blue446
6420132.3
4646147.6
7142122.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279291100200400500116446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#51
116.80.2
119.7→119.9
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8
blue by 30.8
4646
#12
147.61.0
130.2→131.3
Auto20.1
Teleop112.9
End14.5
Second
6950
#40
111.012.4
77.7→90.2
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
blue by 21.2
6420
#11
132.30.1
122.4→122.3
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End19.1
Third
5991
#52
95.49.2
82.9→92.1
Auto15.5
Teleop71.0
End12.0
blue by 27.0
7142
#26
122.412.6
77.7→90.3
Auto14.5
Teleop93.4
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed