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Qual 202018 Iowa Regional
Red20
4021109.3
5041107.4
730988.2
Blue397
6317136.6
4506117.5
1982142.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262301010020040050060070020397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4021
#35
109.313.0
91.7→104.7
Auto16.3
Teleop82.0
End12.7
blue by 32.9
1982
#8
142.31.2
129.2→130.4
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2
Second
5041
#42
107.413.1
83.8→96.9
Auto14.8
Teleop80.3
End13.5
blue by 29.2
6317
#7
136.60.8
123.8→124.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.5
End11.5
Third
7309
#44
88.28.5
77.7→86.3
Auto12.9
Teleop74.4
End-0.9
blue by 29.2
4506
#36
117.51.3
116.9→115.6
Auto16.2
Teleop93.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed