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Qual 212018 Iowa Regional
Red337
525188.4
4260116.7
2549119.1
Blue256
4959156.4
5906113.9
6412124.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312480100200300400500600337256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.2
180.2→180.5
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 32.0
4959
#25
156.41.2
146.0→147.2
Auto23.4
Teleop119.2
End13.1
Second
2549
#38
119.14.1
93.0→97.1
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End14.4
blue by 5.8
6412
#57
124.87.3
92.0→99.3
Auto16.4
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Third
4260
#45
116.713.3
77.1→90.5
Auto14.2
Teleop87.0
End19.0
red by 2.8
5906
#58
113.98.6
88.4→96.9
Auto14.0
Teleop89.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed