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Qual 282018 Iowa Regional
Red255
6889111.6
730988.2
967130.7
Blue250
6164120.7
5914118.5
931137.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243200100400500600255250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#21
130.70.4
123.7→123.3
Auto15.6
Teleop97.5
End19.4
blue by 6.5
931
#9
137.31.7
127.5→129.2
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
Second
6889
#37
111.67.2
90.4→97.6
Auto14.8
Teleop81.6
End19.3
blue by 9.1
6164
#29
120.77.5
91.6→99.2
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
Third
7309
#44
88.21.4
86.3→87.6
Auto12.9
Teleop74.4
End-0.9
blue by 30.2
5914
#46
118.54.3
105.8→110.1
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed