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Qual 292018 Iowa Regional
Red273
4329134.7
5837126.7
6455108.5
Blue167
4021109.3
5576157.5
599195.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303302180220260280300273167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#54
134.71.0
140.3→141.3
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
blue by 22.8
5576
#10
157.50.1
155.0→155.0
Auto21.3
Teleop105.7
End29.9
Second
5837
#56
126.711.2
94.1→105.2
Auto13.8
Teleop95.3
End17.6
red by 17.3
4021
#35
109.34.2
104.7→108.9
Auto16.3
Teleop82.0
End12.7
Third
6455
#59
108.55.5
97.3→102.8
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
red by 13.2
5991
#52
95.42.8
92.1→94.9
Auto15.5
Teleop71.0
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed