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Qual 302018 Iowa Regional
Red372
7122111.4
7142122.4
3206141.0
Blue242
4054110.7
4506117.5
4260116.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25528704006008001,0001,2001,400372242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#28
141.07.8
108.6→116.5
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End15.8
red by 23.6
4506
#36
117.50.5
115.6→116.1
Auto16.2
Teleop93.3
End9.5
Second
7142
#26
122.411.7
90.3→102.0
Auto14.5
Teleop93.4
End17.2
red by 5.6
4260
#45
116.710.3
90.5→100.8
Auto14.2
Teleop87.0
End19.0
Third
7122
#33
111.45.5
88.0→93.5
Auto12.9
Teleop84.2
End16.2
red by 0.6
4054
#32
110.78.8
95.5→104.3
Auto15.8
Teleop85.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed