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Qual 312018 Iowa Regional
Red277
4500116.8
1982142.3
287486.9
Blue193
6419113.0
1156162.3
6999101.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209355100300400500600700277193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#8
142.32.0
130.4→132.5
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2
blue by 20.0
1156
#13
162.31.1
156.7→157.8
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
Second
4500
#51
116.81.2
119.9→118.7
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8
red by 3.7
6419
#43
113.06.1
96.2→102.3
Auto14.3
Teleop86.8
End11.0
Third
2874
#15
86.91.9
86.5→84.6
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
blue by 14.3
6999
#49
101.22.8
100.2→102.9
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed