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Qual 442018 Iowa Regional
Red201
5041107.4
7141102.6
5906113.9
Blue388
6391138.7
6467116.7
6950111.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153210100400500201388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5906
#58
113.92.6
102.6→105.2
Auto14.0
Teleop89.7
End8.5
blue by 24.7
6391
#27
138.71.0
134.6→135.6
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
Second
5041
#42
107.40.5
103.5→103.0
Auto14.8
Teleop80.3
End13.5
blue by 9.3
6467
#14
116.73.8
103.9→107.7
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End9.7
Third
7141
#61
102.61.8
101.1→102.9
Auto13.5
Teleop79.5
End6.0
blue by 8.4
6950
#40
111.02.4
99.5→101.9
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed