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Red178
5914118.5
7122111.4
6536112.9
Blue404
6419113.0
5935121.8
5576157.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263307100200400500178404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#46
118.50.2
113.3113.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
blue by 39.0
5576
#10
157.51.2
154.5153.3
Auto21.3
Teleop105.7
End29.9
Second
6536
#60
112.91.1
117.4118.5
Auto15.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
blue by 8.9
5935
#30
121.86.0
106.1112.1
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End8.7
Third
7122
#33
111.45.8
98.3104.1
Auto12.9
Teleop84.2
End16.2
blue by 1.7
6419
#43
113.00.2
104.2104.0
Auto14.3
Teleop86.8
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed