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Qual 462018 Iowa Regional
Red216
6999101.2
931137.3
4021109.3
Blue110
3206141.0
1985115.1
2530104.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246303100200400500216110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#9
137.31.2
130.7→131.9
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
blue by 3.7
3206
#28
141.06.0
123.0→128.9
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End15.8
Second
4021
#35
109.31.0
110.2→109.2
Auto16.3
Teleop82.0
End12.7
blue by 5.7
1985
#50
115.11.0
119.8→118.8
Auto12.5
Teleop91.1
End10.2
Third
6999
#49
101.20.3
102.9→102.7
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End9.4
blue by 3.4
2530
#47
104.62.5
117.1→114.6
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed