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Red208
4260116.7
6455108.5
5006154.1
Blue394
1982142.3
1156162.3
6420132.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266352100200300400500208394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#31
154.11.3
149.5150.8
Auto19.1
Teleop109.1
End25.7
blue by 8.2
1156
#13
162.30.0
157.8157.8
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
Second
4260
#45
116.73.2
108.0111.2
Auto14.2
Teleop87.0
End19.0
blue by 25.5
142.31.6
134.5136.1
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2
Third
6455
#59
108.50.9
106.6107.4
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
blue by 23.7
6420
#11
132.31.0
124.8125.9
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed