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Red280
5690155.1
6164120.7
4500116.8
Blue457
167148.6
2410156.1
2526154.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257388100200300500600280457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
155.10.4
150.5150.9
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
blue by 1.0
156.13.3
138.1141.4
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
Second
6164
#29
120.77.6
104.6112.2
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
blue by 33.6
2526
#16
154.32.4
140.4142.7
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
Third
4500
#51
116.81.3
118.1116.8
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8
blue by 31.9
167
#5
148.66.2
118.9125.1
Auto19.5
Teleop112.8
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed