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Red307
6630139.9
4646147.6
967130.7
Blue370
2987162.3
4054110.7
525188.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290370100200400500600307370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#12
147.62.6
135.8138.4
Auto20.1
Teleop112.9
End14.5
blue by 40.8
525
#6
188.41.2
181.2182.4
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
Second
6630
#34
139.95.8
128.8134.6
Auto18.2
Teleop104.3
End15.5
blue by 22.4
2987
#18
162.31.3
164.6163.3
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
Third
967
#21
130.70.8
123.4124.2
Auto15.6
Teleop97.5
End19.4
red by 20.0
4054
#32
110.71.0
115.6114.5
Auto15.8
Teleop85.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned