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Red462
6424160.4
3633140.4
1156162.3
Blue175
5041107.4
5914118.5
3026108.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4121840100300500600462175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#13
162.30.7
157.8158.5
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
red by 43.8
5914
#46
118.51.0
113.5112.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
Second
160.43.2
144.1147.3
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
red by 51.9
3026
#41
108.50.2
112.5112.3
Auto17.1
Teleop85.8
End4.8
Third
3633
#23
140.43.4
117.4120.8
Auto15.3
Teleop110.5
End17.5
red by 33.1
5041
#42
107.40.0
103.0103.0
Auto14.8
Teleop80.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed