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Qual 592018 Iowa Regional
Red363
6025143.8
4021109.3
4959156.4
Blue95
7142122.4
6536112.9
6164120.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326251010020030040050036395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#25
156.40.6
150.9→151.4
Auto23.4
Teleop119.2
End13.1
red by 34.0
7142
#26
122.40.9
119.2→120.1
Auto14.5
Teleop93.4
End17.2
Second
6025
#17
143.80.9
127.9→128.8
Auto15.3
Teleop108.5
End21.3
red by 23.1
6164
#29
120.76.1
112.2→118.3
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
Third
4021
#35
109.31.7
109.2→107.5
Auto16.3
Teleop82.0
End12.7
blue by 3.5
6536
#60
112.90.4
118.5→118.1
Auto15.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed