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Qual 602018 Iowa Regional
Red328
287486.9
1094128.0
2410156.1
Blue214
2987162.3
4506117.5
6467116.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250342100200300400500600328214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#1
156.12.8
141.4→144.2
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
blue by 6.2
2987
#18
162.30.8
163.3→162.5
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
Second
1094
#19
128.01.7
121.7→123.4
Auto20.4
Teleop94.5
End14.9
red by 10.6
4506
#36
117.50.7
117.9→118.5
Auto16.2
Teleop93.3
End9.5
Third
2874
#15
86.90.3
83.4→83.7
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
blue by 29.8
6467
#14
116.75.0
107.7→112.7
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed