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Qual 62018 Iowa Regional
Red234
5837126.7
6630139.9
7142122.4
Blue337
1710159.9
5041107.4
6999101.2
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403190100200400500600700234337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6630
#34
139.914.3
89.8→104.1
Auto18.2
Teleop104.3
End15.5
blue by 19.9
1710
#24
159.91.6
156.3→158.0
Auto20.9
Teleop124.8
End13.3
Second
5837
#56
126.717.1
64.7→81.8
Auto13.8
Teleop95.3
End17.6
red by 19.3
5041
#42
107.416.9
66.9→83.8
Auto14.8
Teleop80.3
End13.5
Third
7142
#26
122.444.6
122.4→77.7
Auto14.5
Teleop93.4
End17.2
red by 21.1
6999
#49
101.223.0
100.7→77.7
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed