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Qual 72018 Iowa Regional
Red266
1985115.1
5006154.1
6889111.6
Blue235
6536112.9
2549119.1
6359149.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297271150200250350400266235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#31
154.12.5
140.4→143.0
Auto19.1
Teleop109.1
End25.7
red by 4.9
6359
#20
149.21.5
133.3→134.8
Auto17.0
Teleop113.2
End19.7
Second
1985
#50
115.10.4
120.3→119.9
Auto12.5
Teleop91.1
End10.2
blue by 4.0
2549
#38
119.117.1
64.6→81.8
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End14.4
Third
6889
#37
111.633.8
111.6→77.7
Auto14.8
Teleop81.6
End19.3
blue by 1.3
6536
#60
112.915.3
80.8→96.1
Auto15.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed