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Qual 82018 Iowa Regional
Red442
2410156.1
3206141.0
4959156.4
Blue156
2957112.9
6455108.5
7122111.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452410100200300400500442156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#25
156.40.2
145.8→146.0
Auto23.4
Teleop119.2
End13.1
red by 43.5
2957
#39
112.916.5
69.7→86.2
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End12.9
Second
2410
#1
156.12.8
125.6→128.4
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
red by 44.7
7122
#33
111.433.6
111.4→77.7
Auto12.9
Teleop84.2
End16.2
Third
3206
#28
141.015.4
80.2→95.6
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End15.8
red by 32.5
6455
#59
108.516.3
71.6→87.9
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed