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Qual 702018 Iowa Regional
Red228
6536112.9
2957112.9
1982142.3
Blue353
6424160.4
6164120.7
6317136.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272356100200300400500228353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#8
142.31.5
138.1→139.6
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2
blue by 18.1
6424
#4
160.43.2
147.3→150.5
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
Second
6536
#60
112.92.6
118.1→115.5
Auto15.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
blue by 23.8
6317
#7
136.62.0
130.6→132.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.5
End11.5
Third
2957
#39
112.91.6
109.6→111.2
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End12.9
blue by 7.8
6164
#29
120.71.7
118.3→120.0
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed