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Qual 712018 Iowa Regional
Red301
6412124.8
5914118.5
5837126.7
Blue369
3206141.0
287486.9
4818149.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653180100200400500301369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5837
#56
126.71.3
122.3→123.6
Auto13.8
Teleop95.3
End17.6
blue by 22.7
4818
#3
149.42.1
137.2→139.3
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7
Second
6412
#57
124.83.4
115.0→118.4
Auto16.4
Teleop94.5
End15.7
blue by 16.2
3206
#28
141.04.0
131.1→135.1
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End15.8
Third
5914
#46
118.51.1
112.5→111.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
red by 31.5
2874
#15
86.90.5
83.7→84.2
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed