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Qual 722018 Iowa Regional
Red145
5935121.8
4500116.8
7141102.6
Blue189
6889111.6
637997.3
2530104.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102200100400500145189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5935
#30
121.82.3
119.7→122.1
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End8.7
red by 10.2
6889
#37
111.60.2
110.6→110.7
Auto14.8
Teleop81.6
End19.3
Second
4500
#51
116.80.5
116.7→117.3
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8
red by 12.1
2530
#47
104.62.3
108.2→105.8
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End8.4
Third
7141
#61
102.60.6
104.4→105.1
Auto13.5
Teleop79.5
End6.0
red by 5.3
6379
#48
97.31.1
98.4→97.2
Auto13.7
Teleop80.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed