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Qual 752018 Iowa Regional
Red236
7122111.4
3928162.4
1710159.9
Blue177
5906113.9
6359149.2
6164120.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376266100200300500600236177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#2
162.43.6
154.2→157.8
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 13.2
6359
#20
149.21.9
145.7→147.5
Auto17.0
Teleop113.2
End19.7
Second
1710
#24
159.91.1
164.5→163.4
Auto20.9
Teleop124.8
End13.3
red by 39.2
6164
#29
120.71.5
120.0→121.5
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
Third
7122
#33
111.41.9
109.6→111.5
Auto12.9
Teleop84.2
End16.2
blue by 2.6
5906
#58
113.92.7
111.2→113.9
Auto14.0
Teleop89.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed