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Qual 762018 Iowa Regional
Red329
4054110.7
1982142.3
5041107.4
Blue325
4959156.4
1094128.0
1985115.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403550100200300400500329325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#8
142.31.2
139.6→140.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2
blue by 14.1
4959
#25
156.41.7
152.7→154.3
Auto23.4
Teleop119.2
End13.1
Second
4054
#32
110.72.0
114.4→112.4
Auto15.8
Teleop85.0
End10.5
blue by 17.3
1094
#19
128.01.7
125.1→126.8
Auto20.4
Teleop94.5
End14.9
Third
5041
#42
107.43.1
102.6→105.7
Auto14.8
Teleop80.3
End13.5
blue by 7.7
1985
#50
115.10.5
116.1→115.6
Auto12.5
Teleop91.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed