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Red342
525188.4
2526154.3
2530104.6
Blue271
1710159.9
6536112.9
6950111.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742310100200300500600342271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.9
186.3187.2
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 28.5
1710
#24
159.91.5
161.8160.3
Auto20.9
Teleop124.8
End13.3
Second
2526
#16
154.32.1
149.9152.0
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
red by 41.4
6536
#60
112.91.1
114.0112.9
Auto15.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Third
2530
#47
104.60.5
105.2104.6
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End8.4
blue by 6.4
6950
#40
111.00.3
111.3111.0
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed