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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Iowa Regional
Red444
1710159.9
2410156.1
3633140.4
Blue261
4500116.8
931137.3
6420132.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418239100200300500600700800444261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#24
159.90.2
160.3→160.1
Auto20.9
Teleop124.8
End13.3
red by 22.6
931
#9
137.30.7
136.0→136.7
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
Second
2410
#1
156.11.1
151.8→152.9
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
red by 23.8
6420
#11
132.30.4
131.6→131.9
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End19.1
Third
3633
#23
140.41.5
134.6→136.1
Auto15.3
Teleop110.5
End17.5
red by 23.7
4500
#51
116.80.1
116.9→116.8
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8