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Semifinal 1-12018 Iowa Regional
Red390
1710159.9
2410156.1
3633140.4
Blue400
1156162.3
6424160.4
6025143.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357341100200300400500600700390400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#24
159.90.1
160.0→159.9
Auto20.9
Teleop124.8
End13.3
blue by 2.5
1156
#13
162.30.4
160.8→161.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
Second
2410
#1
156.11.1
154.0→155.1
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
blue by 4.3
6424
#4
160.40.7
157.4→158.1
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
Third
3633
#23
140.41.5
137.6→139.0
Auto15.3
Teleop110.5
End17.5
blue by 3.3
6025
#17
143.81.0
139.9→140.8
Auto15.3
Teleop108.5
End21.3