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Semifinal 2-22018 Iowa Regional
Red416
525188.4
3928162.4
5914118.5
Blue0
2526154.3
4818149.4
5690155.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34635201002003004004160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.0
187.9→188.0
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 33.3
5690
#22DQ
155.10.3
154.5→154.8
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
Second
3928
#2
162.40.3
160.8→161.0
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 8.1
2526
#16DQ
154.30.5
153.8→154.3
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
Third
5914
#46
118.50.2
117.0→117.3
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
blue by 30.9
4818
#3DQ
149.40.9
147.7→148.6
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7