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Semifinal 2-32018 Iowa Regional
Red344
525188.4
3928162.4
5914118.5
Blue307
4646147.6
4818149.4
5690155.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3723270100200500600700800344307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.0
188.0→188.0
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 33.3
5690
#22
155.10.3
154.8→155.1
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
Second
3928
#2
162.40.3
161.0→161.3
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 13.0
4818
#3
149.40.8
148.6→149.4
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7
Third
5914
#46
118.50.2
117.3→117.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
blue by 29.1
4646
#12
147.60.6
147.0→147.6
Auto20.1
Teleop112.9
End14.5